Inconvenient Deaths

How the return to baseline reveals the hidden excess Dr Clare Craig FRCPath The 2025 death registration data for England is now available. It offers a chance to revisit a benchmark: the ONS 2018 population and mortality projections, published before the pandemic, before lockdown, and before any changes in methodology.  According to those projections, deaths […]

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Comorbidity and death from or following Covid-19 in the Pfizer/BNT162b2 trial

A further analysis of the deaths in the Pfizer/BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine trial – obesity stood out as the greatest danger in the comorbidities of the trial participants who died of or following Covid-19 reflect the metabolic health crisis affecting much of the world.
A unique and powerful opportunity to start tackling the metabolic health crisis and make long term health improvements in the UK was wasted.

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Too many deaths are to be expected

Mathematical modelling has a role to play in predicting deaths but as with all modelling it needs to be used very carefully. We have seen modellers who make the assumption that everyone was susceptible to covid then producing dramatic graphs that show everyone would catch it. We’ve also seen modellers who assumed masks worked then producing dramatic graphs of how they could minimise covid. Of all modelling crimes, putting your conclusion into your assumptions is surely the worst.

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