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16 April 2021

April 16, 2021April 22, 2021 HART Editor

Restrictions pose more of a threat than COVID-19

After several weeks of minimal cases being found in the community and weekly deaths below normal levels we are still locked down. Lockdown costs us about £500m a day and every day brings more businesses to the brink. Over 4.7 million people are now waiting for NHS operations. Between March 2020 and January 2021 there were 350,000 fewer cancer referrals to hospitals than expected, a shortfall which is still growing. Education is still being interrupted with universities not returning to face-to-face teaching until 17 May. ..

Mortality data & COVID-19

March 28, 2021July 12, 2021 HART Editor

By Joel Smalley Quantitative Data Analyst Modelling can accurately predict excess mortality associated with COVID-19 outbreaks. Policies can therefore be tailored to minimise collateral harms and maximise benefits. Mortality data can help us unravel the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak and the effects of associated interventions. When we try a new experiment such as lockdowns on the […]

Mutant variants and the futility of border closures

March 28, 2021July 6, 2021 HART Editor

By Dr Gerry Quinn Post-doctoral Researcher in Microbiology and Immunology Mutant variants, emerging overseas or domestically, are an inevitable biological reality once a virus is in the population. On 9 February 2021, Health Secretary Matt Hancock announced that travellers from ‘hotspot countries’ will be expected to pay £1,750 to stay in one of 16 hotels […]

COVID-19: an overview of the evidence – March 2021

March 18, 2021November 9, 2022 HART Editor

The data is in: lockdowns serve no useful purpose and cause catastrophic societal and economic harms. They must never be repeated in this country. The ‘sunk cost fallacy’ is a well known one. World War 1 is the classic example. By Christmas 1914 it was obvious to all that the war was a catastrophe, but […]

5 March 2021

March 5, 2021April 21, 2021 HART Editor

From next week, secondary pupils across England will be asked to take rapid lateral flow tests to help identify anyone who might be infectious. According to PHE and the University of Oxford, lateral flow tests have a false positive rate of around 0.3%, which in a clinical setting would be acceptable, but when testing 4 million healthy, asymptomatic schoolchildren twice a week will mean 24,000 false positive tests. When you add in their contacts this could see up to 700,000 children out of the classroom every week (based on classes in quarantine rather than whole year groups). This clearly undermines the “national priority” of ensuring British schoolchildren have the education that they deserve. It is also important to note that after conducting 1.9 million tests in secondary schools throughout January and February, the results have shown no genuine COVID-19…

19 February 2021

February 19, 2021April 21, 2021 admin

Many of you found our first bulletin last week useful. We are pleased to circulate our second bulletin below.

With every death comes personal tragedy, nevertheless it is important to remember:

– The median age of at death with COVID-19 (around 82 years) exceeds normal life expectancy.
– The majority of those who died with the virus also had two or more serious, chronic illnesses.
– In 2020, there were 388 COVID-19 deaths in those aged 60 and under with no prior illnesses.
– 99.9% of people under 70 years and with no underlying conditions survive the virus…

NUDGE DENIALISM: Why are the state’s psychological experts distancing themselves from behavioural science?

March 5, 2024March 5, 2024 HART Editor

The state’s reliance on behavioural science strategies – ‘nudges’ – to facilitate the public’s compliance with covid restrictions has been widely documented. The many psychologists and behavioural scientists advising the government during the covid event (such as those in the SAGE subgroup, SPI-B, and the Behavioural Insight Team, BIT ) have, reasonably, been assumed to hold a significant degree of responsibility for using these methods of persuasion in communication campaigns

Another parliamentary debate but still no straight answers published

February 27, 2024February 27, 2024 HART Editor

On Thursday 22nd February a private member debate was held on ‘Heart and Circulatory Diseases: Premature Deaths’. The debate was led by Dean Russell, conservative MP for Watford, who spoke eloquently about having a heart attack last August at the age of 47.

Whatever happened to Public Health?

January 18, 2024January 18, 2024 HART Editor

HART member Dr Alan Mordue, who spent most of his career working as a Consultant in Public Health Medicine, recently gave a talk to Common Knowledge Edinburgh on this topic. He directly compares what was in our pandemic plans before March 2020 and what we actually did in responding to Covid-19 in the context of some key principles of the specialty.

Excess mortality in England post Covid-19 pandemic

December 18, 2023December 19, 2023 HART Editor

Lancet article co-authored by Sarah
Caul, MBE, finally acknowledges that excess deaths are a problem but is recommending a timely granular analysis rather than doing one.

How to get published in the Covid era

August 21, 2023August 21, 2023 HART Editor

The last three years has seen a huge number of publications on all aspects of Covid-19 but has also seen many respected authors suddenly struggling to get work published that does not support the official narrative. So by way of some light relief for August, here are some writing tips for hopeful researchers.

The inversion of the ‘precautionary principle’

July 9, 2023July 9, 2023 HART Editor

The precautionary principle (PP), in its original form, counselled those considering the introduction of an innovative idea – a new way of doing things – to pause and think carefully about the balance between potential benefits and potential harms of the novel intervention, with the emphasis on “potential”, since by their nature innovations will invariably carry a high risk of unknown and unknowable risks of harm. As such, the principle complemented the long-standing Hippocratic oath of our medical doctors to, ‘First do no harm’.

To Do List: Re-read George Orwell’s 1984 and take detailed notes

May 19, 2023May 19, 2023 HART Editor

Using particular labels has become the unbeatable weapon du jour of online warfare. If you successfully brand someone a racist, a conspiracy theorist, an anti-vaxxer, alt-right or an antisemite (ideally several of these at once), you neutralise everything-they-ever-said-ever. Boom. Done. You’re finished. Next.

What were you doing on 23rd March 2020?

March 22, 2023March 23, 2023 HART Editor

It is hard to believe it is really three whole years since many of us were listening to the Prime Minister, adopting his most Churchillian tones, and telling the entire nation that we must stay in our homes, for all but food shopping, one item of exercise and essential travel to work: the announcement made only four days after SARS-CoV-2 had been downgraded as a High Consequence Infectious Disease.

Full open letter to MHRA 17-05-2021

March 15, 2023March 23, 2023 Ros Jones

Supporting evidence re concerns surrounding COVID-19 vaccination in children Dr June Raine, CEO, Medicines & Healthcare devices Regulatory Authority, cc: Professor Lim, Chairman, JCVI Covid-19 vaccines committee cc: Professor Chris Whitty, CMO, Co-chair of SAGE cc: Sir Patrick Vallence, Chief Scientific Officer, Co-chair of SAGE Dear Dr Raine, We wish to notify you of our […]

Where were the superspreader events?

November 20, 2022November 20, 2022 HART Editor

There is good evidence that a minority of individuals produce a disproportionately large number of viral particles. These people are likely the ones responsible for occasions where large numbers of people catch covid at a gathering – a superspreader event – which have certainly occurred.

One Doctor’s View from a UK Emergency Department

October 5, 2022October 6, 2022 HART Editor

As Emergency Department doctors, we were always going to be on the frontline. In spring 2020, we were taken to one side and it was suggested we might have to say goodbye to our relatives for the foreseeable future. Few realise the fear generated in hospitals in 2020.

Covid policies and harms to children updated

September 9, 2022August 4, 2023 HART Editor

Children and young people are the future of any society. They are self-evidently vulnerable and require the care and protection of their families and of the wider community. Prior to the Covid Pandemic, in the UK, the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child was universally endorsed by all professionals whose work involved children and young people.

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