Changing the total population estimate results in large swings in the estimate of ‘case’ rates in the unvaccinated. Given the inability to be accurate within a few percentage points, and the uncertainty about whether the inaccuracies are overestimating or underestimating the total, the differences between populations is not as informative as the trend in rates within each of the populations.
Politics
FULL ARTICLE: One in 20 people vaccinated since April had to be added to the NIMS database
To understand case, hospitalisations and death rates in the vaccinated and unvaccinated populations it is essential to know how many people there are in each.
Why do those on the political left enthusiastically support the COVID-19 restrictions?
The musician Billy Bragg recently disclosed his reason for wearing a mask: ‘I don’t want anyone here to think that I’m a Tory’.
Government review of care home winter plan based on terrible error or deliberate lie about successes last year
Government has published a winter plan for care homes with plans for interventions for this winter in care homes including ipads as a proposal to replace human contact. The entire document is based on the premise that interventions in winter prevented deaths in care homes based on claims made in a review of last year’s winter plan. No data supports this notion. The Government report is either based on a terrible error or a deliberate lie.
A Grandee Exits Stage Left
It is now two weeks since Sir Jeremy Farrar quit the UK Government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE). Judging by numerous comments from the readership of a recent article in the Telegraph, many are not sad to see him go.
Should children be vaccinated against COVID-19?
HART would contest that it is unethical to ask children to take a vaccine to boost herd immunity or to offset political decisions such as school closures, at a stage when the drug trials have still to be completed. Policy makers would do well to re-read the Universal Declaration on Bioethics and Human Rights and to follow the authors’ guidance to ‘weigh up the risks and benefits with caution and to proceed with care’.
To B or Not To B
Was ‘Plan B’ always in fact, ‘Plan A’?
Vaccine Certification: Big, Bad and Ugly
What is the point of principles protecting the rights of the individual if they can be undermined at the slightest hint of a possible perceived harm, or a small risk of such a harm? What if the proposed solution creates greater harm, or just a series of different harms?
Mask mandates: bad and harmful
With regards further mask mandates, inaction is infinitely more rational than action.
FDA’s fraudulent modelling to justify vaccinating 5-11 year olds
The decision to vaccinate children is reckless and the way the data has been presented as representing the risk to healthy children, is, whether deliberately or not, fraudulent.
Censorship is rife
Continuing concerns about the censorship of essentially all voices questioning any aspect pandemic management.
Select Committee report on the handling of the pandemic
Government report overlooks the butterfly effects of lockdowns
Continuation of the Coronavirus Act
To cap it all, the Coronavirus Act 2020 was continued for a further 6 months, on the basis of a 90 minute debate and no division lobby.
COVID risks in pregnant women
When deaths and cases are not frightening enough the media turn, as they did last year, to pregnant women to promote fear.
Increasing numbers of PCR positives are asymptomatic
After months of UK Government advertising making the dubious claim that 1 in 3 people have asymptomatic Covid-19, is there any supporting evidence of this?
Advance Australia Fair?
Australia is now officially a society that is sanctioning medical apartheid.
Cases continue to fall
5 August 2021 – It is time now for those that put their faith in these modellers to have a rethink too.
HART proposed methodology adopted in US
22 July 2021 – It’s time for the UK to use Ct to track the spread, protect the vulnerable and regain our lives.
