SARS-CoV-2 is airborne and spreads through aerosols but are there other routes of transmission too? A recent report from the Food Standards Agency suggested that the virus could survive on food and packaging for up to a week.
COVID Data
The Future is a Foreign Country
Despite two and a half years of failure people continue to be paid to publish modelled predictions of the future. The future is not as predictable as some claim. Modellers are not capable of predicting what is going to happen because they do not have measurements for all the variables that contribute to covid waves.
Where were the superspreader events?
There is good evidence that a minority of individuals produce a disproportionately large number of viral particles. These people are likely the ones responsible for occasions where large numbers of people catch covid at a gathering – a superspreader event – which have certainly occurred.
Cumulative excess deaths 2020-2022 — an international comparison
There has been much talk in recent weeks about excess mortality, but remarkably little interest from UKHSA or ONS (or anyone in the MSM for that matter) in trying to ascertain why this might be….
Covid is worse in winter
After watching this pattern play out for over two years there finally seems to be an admission that covid is worse in winter. Fauci has said he expects an autumn and winter wave starting in October and peaking in January.
The impact of synthetic spike protein
The weekly tally of deaths above expected levels from non covid causes is finally being started to be reported in a few mainstream media outlets. There has been a wide range of speculation about the cause, with a number of mechanisms postulated including post covid sequelae and lack of access to healthcare during lockdowns in 2020 and early 2021.
What do Portugal, Ireland and the UK have in common?
The trajectory for hospitalisations and ICU admissions in the UK does appear to show benefits of vaccination since early 2021. The peaks in hospitalisations were comparable with autumn 2020 with the exception of Scotland’s large peak in March 2022. However, the intensive care admission peaks were much smaller than prior peaks.
A (Possibly Unpopular) Null Hypothesis
H0SARS-CoV-2 was nasty, but not unusually so, and certainly not particularly novel. The cure was worse than the disease. It is difficult to bottle up truths forever, and it will be instructive to see whether this hypothesis is still in the running when it comes to writing the definitive history of the Covid epoch.
Long covid myths busted
The claims that long covid could be a “mass disabling event” are totally unfounded based on the data from two recent papers.
Why are so many people dying?
The disappointment from Covidean doom-mongers about the recent – and entirely expected – downtick in cases of respiratory disease has been palpable, presumably because this has happened without recourse to ‘clever’ public health interventions.
How many injections prevent one covid death?
Risk is notoriously difficult to communicate effectively. It is especially hard when referring to an emotive subject like the risk of dying as the emotional response prevents rational interpretation of complex numbers. To simplify understanding of the benefits of interventions the number of people who need to be treated to prevent a death can be measured, the number needed to treat (or “NNT”). The same
Impact of vaccination on covid death
Authorities continue to claim that vaccination provides 80% protection from covid death. The data that these calculations are based on are measured in sample populations subject to different biases.
The SARS-CoV-2 and influenza see-saw
Covid and influenza appear to have a reciprocal relationship. When a covid wave occurs influenza disappears and when covid recedes influenza returns. The fear of having to cope with covid and influenza at the same time over winter as warned in a report from Imperial this time last year, was not valid.
Laundering the death numbers
The ONS have released the latest update on their data for deaths by vaccination status. Superficially it appears to show residual protection against death in the vaccinated but only a little digging reveals that there is likely hidden information that could turn that observation on its head.
Imperial fantasy of 20 million lives saved
Imperial College has produced a new fantasy number to test people’s gullibility. This time they are claiming that 19.8 million lives have been saved by vaccination.
Imperial College now have a global reputation for making provable wrong claims based on modelling and they appear to want to bolster that reputation.
Updated analysis of deaths in males 15-19 years of age
Cumulative total deaths in young males have stopped deviating from the 2015/2019 baseline and have been running parallel with it.
Covid-19: The Evidence Now – Part 4
If you have enjoyed the recent Evidence UPdates, here are two more on vaccine passports and ONS infection surveillance data.
The ONS Infection Survey: a re-evaluation of the data
Whether this is Omicron or cross reactivity with previously endemic coronaviruses is uncertain. What is clear from the Ct values in the ONS Infection Survey is that neither “non-pharmaceutical interventions” or vaccines have had any impact on waves of infectious SARS-CoV-2 carriers and that neither economically destructive lockdowns or mandating experimental vaccines should ever have been attempted.
