Mathematical modelling has a role to play in predicting deaths but as with all modelling it needs to be used very carefully. We have seen modellers who make the assumption that everyone was susceptible to covid then producing dramatic graphs that show everyone would catch it. We’ve also seen modellers who assumed masks worked then producing dramatic graphs of how they could minimise covid. Of all modelling crimes, putting your conclusion into your assumptions is surely the worst.
Mortality data
Trying to bargain away the excess deaths problem
Politicians fancied themselves as heroes in 2020. They were saving lives. Having played doctor with the population they are now being shown the fallout and it is not pretty. They are working through the stages of grief.
Death notices tell a different Covid story
Members of HART were struck by this analysis from Dr Simon and have published it here with his permission: It is a very common practice to write a death notice in New Zealand after a loved one has passed away. This practice is so common in New Zealand that frequently more death notices get published through Legacy.com than the number of deceased, as some people publish more than one death notice for the family member that passed away.
Examining the ONS all-cause mortality data
It is not necessary to have a degree in statistics to understand that something is very amiss with public data reporting, with lack of transparency being the most egregious issue. The taxpayer funds the very existence of the ONS. We should have access to the information that we are paying to be collected.
Excess mortality in England post Covid-19 pandemic
Lancet article co-authored by Sarah
Caul, MBE, finally acknowledges that excess deaths are a problem but is recommending a timely granular analysis rather than doing one.
How not to handle a data leak
A New Zealand health ministry employee was arrested for leaking records on vaccination status and death from the government database. He faces up to seven years in prison. The government admits that there has been no privacy breach as the data was anonymised yet, by arresting him they have confirmed the veracity of the data and implied they do not want the public seeing it.
Deaths of Scottish babies
Public Health Scotland demonstrated a significant increase in neonatal deaths (in the first month of life) in 2021 but refused to investigate whether it was related to the vaccine because such an analysis “whilst being uninformative for public health decision making, had the potential to be used to harm vaccine confidence”.
Excess Death Inquiry in Parliament House, Australia
On Wednesday October 18th in Parliament House, Canberra, the Australian Medical Professionals Society (AMPS) held an inquiry, addressing the alarming rise in excess mortality in Australia since 2021. This inquiry aimed to uncover the most pressing question: What is causing Australians to die at unprecedented rates? Why has the death rate rocketed?
The scandal of excess death reporting (or lack thereof)
In stark contrast to the 2020 relentless daily death counts, there has been a virtual media black-out on excess deaths since the vaccine rollout.
Trends in Excess Deaths
All our readers will be aware that on October 20th, Andrew Bridgen managed finally to secure a debate on the Excess mortality which is occurring in the UK and across highly vaccinated countries in every continent. In the run up to the debate, HART joined in an open letter to all MPs urging them to attend and similar appeals were made by other groups most of which fell on deaf ears.
Trends in Excess Deaths, 20th October 2023
“We have experienced more excess deaths since July 2021 than in the whole of 2020. Unlike during the pandemic, however, those deaths are not disproportionately of the old. In other words, the excess deaths are striking down people in the prime of life. No one seems to care.”
You have to die of something!
When calling out the excess mortality after the covid vaccination campaign, the claim that Sweden disproves an association with vaccination is frequently raised. Why is it that Sweden has only a small excess, and some claim none when adjusted for age?
Debate on excess deaths 20th October
UK Parliamentary debate on Excess Mortality but will MPs attend?
Elegant modelling of excess deaths
Joel Smalley has carried out extensive analysis on a dataset which has allowed for the most accurate excess death data so far produced. There is a huge, previously unaddressed issue, of grouping cohorts when calculating excess deaths. There is huge variation in the size of the cohorts born each year.
Excess Deaths Adjournment Debate
Andrew Bridgen has secured an adjournment debate on the vital subject of Excess Mortality. This much vexed subject has generally been ignored by the majority of MPs as well as the mainstream media. The excess noted back in 2021 in adolescent males was highlighted in the High Court and the excess was acknowledged even then but with no decision to investigate. HART wrote to the MHRA at that time, as did members of the Pandemic Recovery APPG. Questions have been asked in the House of Commons too. But all attempts to get the issue taken seriously have drawn a blank.
Joint open letter to MPs retiring in 2024
How will you be remembered? Also available on Substack – Come and join the conversation with open comments A Word version of the letter available for download HERE for those who readers would also like to forward to their MP to ensure response. Letter to all Members of Parliament standing down at the next General […]
Have we overcalled the excess death concern?
There is much confusion about excess deaths currently with different government bodies contradicting each other about the extent of the problem. The ONS use a baseline which includes 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022 as years with which to calculate expected deaths. Despite this clearly elevated “normal” they have reported excess mortality for most weeks of this year.
Covid jabs the big picture: Part 3
There is plenty of data that suggests concerning patterns emerging in terms of mortality rates among certain groups of people who received the covid vaccines. The number of deaths recorded in the vaccine group was higher than the placebo group in the Pfizer/BioNTech clinical trial, and there were more cases of cardiac and respiratory arrest in the vaccinated group.
