There is much confusion about excess deaths currently with different government bodies contradicting each other about the extent of the problem. The ONS use a baseline which includes 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022 as years with which to calculate expected deaths. Despite this clearly elevated “normal” they have reported excess mortality for most weeks of this year.
Mortality data
Covid jabs the big picture: Part 3
There is plenty of data that suggests concerning patterns emerging in terms of mortality rates among certain groups of people who received the covid vaccines. The number of deaths recorded in the vaccine group was higher than the placebo group in the Pfizer/BioNTech clinical trial, and there were more cases of cardiac and respiratory arrest in the vaccinated group.
Excuses for excess deaths
The Royal College of Emergency Medicine claims that over 20,000 people died in 2022 after waiting for care for at least 12 hours. They say these deaths resulted from long delays in A&E, where emergency departments are frequently overwhelmed and unable to find patients a hospital bed. The claim is based on modelled data which showed that patients who waited longer for a bed had a higher mortality.
An autopsy on covid deaths
Although covid undoubtedly killed people, looking at its fatality in retrospect, the claimed lethality does not always match what we now know about the virus. There are particular examples such as New York City and Lombardy where the alleged covid mortality figures are well in excess of what was seen elsewhere, and suggest other factors must have been at play. With that in mind it is worth re-examining the excess death waves to understand better what proportion was caused directly by covid and what could have been caused by the response to covid.
Problems with the ONS data?
After a seven month hiatus the ONS have finally released data on deaths by vaccination status but it is all very odd. Numerous analyses have been written on the findings as well as critiques of the quality of the data; this article will be an attempt to summarise them.
Can the mortality anomalies in the ONS data be explained?
The new ONS data seems to have a bias such that deaths in the unvaccinated are more likely to be included in the ONS sample, whereas deaths in the vaccinated have the opposite bias and are more likely to be excluded from this dataset. Oddly, the bias is different for covid deaths.
Three key findings from ONS analysis
There are significant problems with bias in the ONS dataset that are covered in two accompanying articles. However, even based on the ONS analysis there are three key points that strongly suggest that 2022 was a bad year for covid vaccines.
Did boosters save lives in Europe?
The top ten European countries in terms of the proportion of people booster doses given were compared to the bottom ten to see if there had been a benefit.
Singapore is a control group
The Singapore government released data on their excess deaths in 2021 which is a window into what has caused excess cardiovascular deaths. Singapore is interesting because covid deaths did not feature until September 2021. Prior to that date only 29 deaths had been attributed to covid.
Some Pretty Ugly Data
Recent mortality data published by the Office for Health Improvements and Disparities makes uncomfortable reading. It looks like ‘something(s)’ happened in April 2020, the middle of 2021 and in the second half of 2022.
What are people NOT dying of
In the second half of the year (June to end Nov) there have been considerably more deaths in 2022 than were seen in the same periods of 2020 and 2021 (see table 1). Why have more people been dying?
Cumulative excess deaths 2020-2022 — an international comparison
There has been much talk in recent weeks about excess mortality, but remarkably little interest from UKHSA or ONS (or anyone in the MSM for that matter) in trying to ascertain why this might be….
Comparison of European deaths
The extent of vaccination between different countries is strongly correlated to how many deaths they have experienced both at the end of 2021 and in more recent months. More vaccinated countries saw lower excess mortality during the Delta wave but the opposite has been true in recent months. Is this a sign of a causal relationship or are there other factors at play?
